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Red41
418111.8
569023.8
40218.2
Blue51
218117.1
51439.0
181625.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4051102030607080904151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#25
23.80.4
15.515.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 1.4
25.30.7
21.922.6
Auto8.4
Teleop15.8
End1.1
Second
4181
#35
11.80.4
10.310.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End0.7
blue by 5.3
17.10.7
14.915.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Third
4021
#54
8.20.4
11.712.1
Auto5.8
Teleop2.4
End-0.0
blue by 0.8
5143
#33
9.00.7
7.98.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed