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Red26
703811.5
569023.8
22395.0
Blue61
534825.0
284718.8
88368.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38522060801002661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#25
23.81.1
15.914.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End2.3
blue by 1.2
5348
#12
25.01.7
24.225.9
Auto10.1
Teleop13.4
End1.5
Second
7038
#40
11.51.1
11.610.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End0.6
blue by 7.3
18.81.7
16.318.0
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
Third
2239
#52
5.01.1
8.47.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 3.0
8836
#39
8.11.7
5.26.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned