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Red71
297722.1
329412.3
9325.2
Blue53
400921.2
703811.5
842215.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59472040801007153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#11
25.22.1
20.822.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End1.9
red by 4.0
4009
#21
21.21.0
20.921.9
Auto9.7
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Second
22.12.1
21.623.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End1.8
red by 6.4
8422
#15
15.71.0
12.613.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Third
3294
#41
12.32.1
9.511.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 0.8
7038
#40
11.51.0
10.511.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed