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Red28
282322.7
58267.0
32919.0
Blue22
469313.3
22395.0
621712.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43413050602822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.2
21.320.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 9.3
4693
#23
13.31.7
14.612.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Second
3291
#37
9.01.2
9.88.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 3.1
6217
#46
12.11.7
15.713.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Third
5826
#44
7.01.2
8.06.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
red by 2.0
2239
#52
5.01.7
7.45.7
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed