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Red49
173227.0
284718.8
326714.1
Blue36
297722.1
474112.3
462411.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6952204060801004936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.3
26.124.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.5
red by 4.9
22.11.4
23.722.4
Auto5.7
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Second
18.81.2
19.117.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.1
End2.8
red by 6.5
4741
#19
12.31.5
12.711.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End3.6
Third
3267
#31
14.11.2
15.414.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 2.4
4624
#42
11.71.4
12.711.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed