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Red33
477816.8
58267.0
329412.3
Blue55
205222.3
791515.8
282322.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35690204060801003355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#34
16.80.5
17.116.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.5
blue by 5.8
22.70.9
20.019.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Second
3294
#41
12.30.5
11.611.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 10.0
22.30.9
22.321.4
Auto9.7
Teleop9.2
End3.4
Third
5826
#44
7.00.5
6.76.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.7
blue by 8.7
7915
#14
15.80.9
16.015.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed