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Red0
216915.9
99996.9
523217.2
Blue0
251210.1
99986.9
313417.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464601020304050607000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
Unranked
17.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
blue by 0.2
3134
Unranked
17.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Second
2169
Unranked
15.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 5.8
2512
Unranked
10.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
Third
9999
Unranked
6.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody odds12%Melody odds
Ensemble
13%Ensemble odds2%Ensemble odds