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Red28
569025.6
99996.9
251210.1
Blue50
327514.0
99986.9
546418.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485301001502002850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
red by 7.0
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Second
2512
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 3.9
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody odds45%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds