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Red23
313417.4
99996.9
565321.8
Blue64
546418.6
99986.9
957619.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515901001502002364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 2.8
9576
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
3134
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 1.3
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody odds31%Melody odds
Ensemble
21%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds