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Red51
181629.9
99996.9
249127.4
Blue55
957619.1
99986.9
340711.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7646020601001201401605155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 10.8
9576
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
2491
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 15.8
3407
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody odds32%Melody odds
Ensemble
26%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds