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Red43
216915.9
99996.9
546418.6
Blue69
327514.0
99986.9
957619.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465401001502004369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 0.4
9576
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
2169
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
red by 1.9
3275
Unranked
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody odds52%Melody odds
Ensemble
18%Ensemble odds5%Ensemble odds