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Red58
181629.9
99996.9
565321.8
Blue45
523217.2
99986.9
569025.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67632040801001205845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 4.3
5690
Unranked
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Second
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 4.6
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody odds33%Melody odds
Ensemble
29%Ensemble odds3%Ensemble odds