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Red38
216915.9
99996.9
313417.4
Blue57
181629.9
99986.9
320622.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4179020601001201401603857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 12.5
1816
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Second
2169
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 6.6
3206
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.3
End2.4
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody odds67%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds