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Red5
251210.1
99996.9
546418.6
Blue33
523217.2
99986.9
565321.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386302080100120140533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 3.2
5653
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
2512
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 7.1
5232
Unranked
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Third
9999
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Level
9998
Unranked
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody odds37%Melody odds
Ensemble
15%Ensemble odds8%Ensemble odds