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Red82
702833.3
604520.1
327636.3
Blue0
181636.3
87635.6
818825.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991080406080120140160820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.3
36.636.3
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
red by 0.1
1816
#5DQ
36.30.4
35.836.3
Auto9.6
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Second
33.30.3
33.633.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
blue by 2.2
876
#9DQ
35.60.4
35.235.6
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Third
6045
#30
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 5.8
8188
#18DQ
25.90.4
25.425.9
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6