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Red75
327723.4
254916.3
467416.4
Blue26
88876.6
785815.5
375513.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533401001507526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#14
23.41.7
17.519.3
Auto10.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
red by 8.0
7858
#39
15.50.8
11.911.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End1.5
Second
4674
#35
16.41.6
18.019.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.6
red by 3.4
3755
#23
13.00.6
12.411.8
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
2549
#28
16.31.7
9.811.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
red by 9.7
8887
#54
6.60.8
8.67.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed