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Red121
288326.7
472833.7
702833.3
Blue35
25388.1
851615.3
467416.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9340020608012014016012135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
#21
33.73.2
30.633.9
Auto12.9
Teleop17.9
End2.9
red by 17.3
4674
#35
16.40.9
19.618.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Second
33.33.2
21.524.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End1.1
red by 18.0
8516
#45
15.30.9
14.313.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.1
End1.1
Third
2883
#34
26.73.5
25.629.1
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
red by 18.6
2538
#49
8.11.4
8.26.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed