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Red51
517229.6
88789.8
375513.0
Blue87
313420.9
818825.9
472833.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469002060801001201401605187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#12
29.60.3
23.523.8
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
blue by 4.1
4728
#21
33.70.4
34.935.3
Auto12.9
Teleop17.9
End2.9
Second
3755
#23
13.00.3
12.913.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 12.9
8188
#18
25.90.4
20.320.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
Third
8878
#32
9.80.3
10.010.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 11.1
3134
#37
20.90.4
20.621.0
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed