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Red36
83729.8
25388.1
250922.5
Blue63
266716.7
422618.5
546418.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314401020405060703663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#31
22.50.1
13.013.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
red by 3.9
5464
#26
18.61.7
12.414.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Second
8372
#50
9.80.1
8.18.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 8.7
4226
#19
18.51.9
10.412.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.6
End3.9
Third
2538
#49
8.10.1
8.99.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
blue by 8.6
2667
#27
16.71.6
15.817.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned