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Red51
617523.3
310221.9
327514.0
Blue54
703813.5
818825.9
327723.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63600501001505154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#43
23.31.0
23.222.2
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
blue by 2.6
8188
#18
25.90.1
20.820.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End1.6
Second
3102
#29
21.91.0
19.818.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 1.5
3277
#14
23.40.1
20.420.3
Auto10.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
3275
#44
14.01.0
13.512.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End0.2
red by 0.5
7038
#47
13.50.1
13.813.8
Auto7.9
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed