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Red79
422618.5
87635.6
757819.6
Blue67
472833.7
331315.4
423920.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747450607080901007967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#9
35.60.4
31.632.0
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
red by 1.9
4728
#21
33.70.0
32.432.4
Auto12.9
Teleop17.9
End2.9
Second
7578
#13
19.60.6
19.219.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
blue by 1.2
4239
#46
20.80.0
19.619.6
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End2.5
Third
4226
#19
18.50.4
15.816.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.6
End3.9
red by 3.1
3313
#38
15.40.0
14.714.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed