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Red82
250922.5
725725.9
604520.1
Blue36
384812.3
88876.6
767718.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions753102040601001201408236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.2
24.725.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 7.1
7677
#40
18.80.2
17.017.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.8
Second
2509
#31
22.52.0
19.121.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.6
red by 10.2
3848
#48
12.30.3
11.411.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Third
6045
#30
20.11.2
18.619.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
red by 13.4
8887
#54
6.60.3
4.64.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed