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Red66
791518.4
310221.9
222713.9
Blue64
254916.3
305820.7
313420.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544701001502006664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#29
21.91.1
18.119.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
red by 1.0
3134
#37
20.91.4
18.019.4
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
7915
#22
18.41.5
15.817.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.6
End4.1
blue by 2.2
3058
#16
20.71.4
16.918.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
2227
#36
13.91.5
13.815.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End1.6
blue by 2.5
2549
#28
16.31.5
8.39.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed