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Red83
674919.9
375513.0
825517.4
Blue50
37406.5
703813.5
617523.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51472030406070808350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.4
18.219.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 3.4
6175
#43
23.30.5
22.222.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.6
End1.2
Second
8255
#24
17.40.8
15.616.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.6
End2.7
red by 3.9
7038
#47
13.50.5
13.814.2
Auto7.9
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
3755
#23
13.00.8
11.812.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
red by 6.5
3740
#51
6.50.8
6.87.6
Auto6.3
Teleop1.2
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed