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Red53
288326.7
329722.4
784915.1
Blue73
87635.6
222713.9
670923.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67802040601001205373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#34
26.70.6
27.226.6
Auto11.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 8.9
876
#9
35.60.1
32.031.9
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Second
3297
#11
22.40.6
20.519.9
Auto9.1
Teleop8.2
End5.2
blue by 0.7
6709
#15
23.20.1
24.424.3
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
7849
#17
15.11.0
14.813.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.6
End0.5
red by 1.2
2227
#36
13.90.1
14.614.5
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed