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Red35
604520.1
266716.7
88789.8
Blue109
327636.3
757819.6
327723.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479102040608010012014016035109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#30
20.11.0
19.718.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 16.3
36.30.5
35.636.0
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
Second
2667
#27
16.71.0
17.016.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
blue by 6.7
3277
#14
23.40.5
21.822.3
Auto10.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
8878
#32
9.81.0
11.310.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 9.7
7578
#13
19.60.7
19.820.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned