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Red61
375513.0
453931.1
384812.3
Blue71
791518.4
517229.6
25388.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60532040801006171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.8
28.928.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End2.1
red by 1.4
5172
#12
29.60.8
25.125.9
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
3755
#23
13.00.8
12.711.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
blue by 5.5
7915
#22
18.40.8
16.016.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.6
End4.1
Third
3848
#48
12.31.2
11.710.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End0.7
red by 4.2
2538
#49
8.11.3
7.89.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned