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Red58
327636.3
767718.8
222713.9
Blue60
757819.6
614623.9
546418.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77692040601001201405860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.7
36.035.3
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End3.8
red by 12.4
6146
#25
23.90.6
24.423.8
Auto8.4
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Second
7677
#40
18.80.7
18.417.7
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.8
blue by 0.8
7578
#13
19.60.8
20.519.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Third
2227
#36
13.90.7
14.513.8
Auto7.5
Teleop4.9
End1.6
blue by 4.7
5464
#26
18.60.6
18.618.1
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed