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Red73
725725.9
327723.4
477822.5
Blue124
453624.9
313029.1
517229.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7889406010012014073124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.1
25.825.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 3.7
5172
#12
29.60.8
28.028.8
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
3277
#14
23.40.1
23.423.2
Auto10.7
Teleop10.8
End2.0
blue by 5.7
29.10.8
27.628.4
Auto12.4
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
4778
#20
22.50.1
22.722.5
Auto10.0
Teleop9.3
End3.2
blue by 2.4
4536
#41
24.90.8
23.424.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0