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Red86
453931.1
460735.9
546418.6
Blue107
453624.9
313029.1
517229.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9389020030040050060086107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#10
35.90.2
35.435.2
Auto11.0
Teleop21.5
End3.4
red by 6.2
5172
#12
29.60.3
28.829.2
Auto8.7
Teleop18.8
End2.1
Second
31.10.2
30.630.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.0
End2.1
red by 1.9
29.10.3
28.428.7
Auto12.4
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Third
5464
#26
18.60.2
18.117.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
blue by 6.3
4536
#41
24.90.3
24.224.5
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End2.0