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Red18
466414.7
32027.5
361014.1
Blue33
878710.2
284619.8
250017.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354201001502001833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4664
#31
14.71.6
12.811.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
blue by 5.1
19.81.1
15.614.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
3610
#26
14.11.6
12.911.3
Auto7.2
Teleop6.2
End0.6
blue by 3.8
2500
#12
17.91.0
14.813.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
3202
#56
7.51.6
6.95.3
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1
blue by 2.6
8787
#35
10.21.6
6.75.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed