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Red103
205230.6
363029.3
253029.2
Blue24
25139.7
301818.5
312210.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8822040608010012014010324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.62.3
23.125.4
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 12.0
3018
#29
18.50.4
11.210.8
Auto8.8
Teleop6.7
End3.0
Second
29.32.1
25.727.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 19.3
3122
#49
10.00.4
10.29.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
29.22.3
23.025.3
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
red by 19.6
2513
#27
9.70.4
6.05.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed