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Red23
285520.9
217710.5
312210.0
Blue57
421514.6
217521.8
250017.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43522060801002357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#13
20.91.1
18.817.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
blue by 0.9
2175
#18
21.80.7
16.617.3
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
2177
#51
10.51.1
11.410.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 7.4
2500
#12
17.90.7
14.615.4
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
Third
3122
#49
10.01.9
10.08.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 4.7
4215
#38
14.61.2
14.715.9
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed