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Red42
247029.2
22256.5
310016.0
Blue71
466324.6
543423.2
303812.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605002040801001201401604271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#10
29.20.7
26.525.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.5
red by 4.7
24.61.6
20.021.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Second
3100
#28
16.00.7
17.216.5
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 7.3
5434
#21
23.22.7
16.419.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
2225
#54
6.51.2
9.17.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 5.8
3038
#30
12.32.7
9.912.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed