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Red36
251810.1
245014.0
345419.4
Blue83
392625.2
287911.0
282329.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35500204060803683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3454
#22
19.40.3
9.910.2
Auto9.8
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 10.4
29.81.8
22.724.4
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
2450
#23
14.00.2
14.114.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.8
blue by 11.2
25.21.8
11.513.2
Auto11.2
Teleop11.8
End2.2
Third
2518
#46
10.10.3
9.29.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.2
blue by 0.8
2879
#39
11.02.2
9.111.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed