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Red62
312210.0
247223.2
216915.9
Blue53
220723.3
310016.0
706822.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477402040601001201406253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#16
23.21.1
22.623.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
blue by 0.1
2207
#17
23.31.1
23.622.5
Auto11.2
Teleop10.1
End1.9
Second
2169
#20
15.91.1
14.015.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 6.1
7068
#25
22.00.7
22.922.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Third
3122
#49
10.01.7
9.411.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 6.0
3100
#28
16.00.7
17.416.7
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed