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Red65
25116.4
249129.2
250017.9
Blue75
253029.2
245014.0
250819.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49710204060801001201406575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#14
29.21.2
27.228.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
Level
29.20.5
26.425.9
Auto10.5
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Second
2500
#12
17.91.2
16.317.5
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
blue by 2.0
19.90.5
20.620.2
Auto9.5
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Third
2511
#60
6.41.9
3.45.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 7.7
2450
#23
14.00.5
14.814.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned