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Red62
249129.2
250221.5
310016.0
Blue86
217521.8
214320.4
223915.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78620501001502006286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#14
29.20.4
29.829.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.3
End2.9
red by 7.4
2175
#18
21.80.6
21.722.3
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
21.50.4
22.121.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
red by 1.1
2143
#11
20.40.8
20.221.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Third
3100
#28
16.00.4
16.516.2
Auto9.3
Teleop5.3
End1.5
red by 0.2
2239
#15
15.80.6
15.716.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End3.3