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Red61
220723.3
250017.9
247223.2
Blue71
282329.8
245014.0
591319.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72680501001502006171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2207
#17
23.30.1
23.523.3
Auto11.2
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 6.5
29.80.0
29.029.0
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
2472
#16
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End2.2
red by 3.6
5913
#19
19.60.0
18.818.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Third
2500
#12
17.90.1
18.017.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.0
End0.4
red by 3.9
2450
#23
14.00.0
14.114.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.8