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Red88
223915.8
214320.4
217521.8
Blue82
388320.6
466324.6
247029.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638320401001201401608882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#18
21.80.6
22.322.9
Auto10.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 7.5
2470
#10
29.20.2
28.728.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Second
2143
#11
20.40.8
21.121.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
blue by 4.2
24.60.2
24.124.3
Auto9.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Third
2239
#15
15.80.6
16.417.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End3.3
blue by 4.8
3883
#36
20.60.2
20.120.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.7
End2.7