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Red42
250013.4
250218.2
485915.2
Blue29
266712.8
22277.4
453618.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535802040801004229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.20.5
19.519.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 0.5
4536
#18
18.71.7
22.921.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
4859
#21
15.20.6
13.212.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 2.4
2667
#17
12.81.7
17.115.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Third
2500
#29
13.40.5
16.215.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.1
End0.5
red by 6.0
2227
#31
7.41.7
11.910.3
Auto6.0
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed