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Red40
485915.2
320617.0
308215.7
Blue71
527514.4
957622.1
253124.1
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51670204060801001204071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#15
17.00.5
15.515.0
Auto9.1
Teleop5.9
End2.0
blue by 7.1
24.10.5
22.122.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
3082
#16
15.70.5
18.718.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End1.0
blue by 6.4
22.10.5
20.320.8
Auto11.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Third
4859
#21
15.20.5
13.412.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 0.8
14.40.5
16.316.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed