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Red85
614736.8
78504.4
472830.3
Blue21
25132.7
253029.8
701911.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815202040601001201401608521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.7
34.935.6
Auto12.5
Teleop17.4
End6.8
red by 6.9
29.82.1
32.330.2
Auto11.4
Teleop16.7
End1.7
Second
4728
#10
30.30.7
30.230.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End2.3
red by 19.2
7019
#27
11.12.1
13.411.3
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Third
7850
#20
4.40.7
4.55.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.4
End1.4
red by 1.6
2513
#24
2.72.1
4.42.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed