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Red90
218119.2
485915.2
181623.6
Blue22
604515.3
308215.7
26060.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6039020801001201401609022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.62.5
21.323.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.3
End0.2
red by 7.9
3082
#16
15.71.7
18.216.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Second
19.22.5
18.020.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End1.0
red by 3.9
6045
#30
15.31.7
17.816.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Third
4859
#21
15.22.5
12.915.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 14.3
2606
#34
0.91.7
1.7-0.0
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed