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Red53
205217.3
247021.7
78504.4
Blue43
250013.4
254912.1
253124.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505802040801005343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#11
21.70.9
22.521.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 2.4
24.10.6
24.724.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
2052
#23
17.30.9
18.117.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End1.0
red by 3.9
2500
#29
13.40.6
14.013.4
Auto6.9
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Third
7850
#20
4.40.9
5.24.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.4
End1.4
blue by 7.7
2549
#36
12.10.6
12.612.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed