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Red56
308215.7
318424.2
247021.7
Blue16
250218.2
22277.4
87874.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954401502005616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#14
24.22.3
30.127.8
Auto10.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 6.1
18.22.0
21.519.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
2470
#11
21.72.3
28.926.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End1.7
red by 14.3
2227
#31
7.42.0
13.911.9
Auto6.0
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Third
3082
#16
15.72.3
21.319.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End1.0
red by 11.3
8787
#22
4.42.6
10.27.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed