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Red40
285514.4
957622.1
254912.1
Blue51
614736.8
460736.0
181623.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4913001001502004051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.9
20.319.4
Auto11.2
Teleop10.6
End0.3
blue by 14.7
36.83.8
37.834.0
Auto12.5
Teleop17.4
End6.8
Second
2855
#28
14.40.9
19.718.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 21.6
36.03.8
41.137.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End5.3
Third
2549
#36
12.10.9
13.712.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End0.5
blue by 11.5
23.63.8
28.925.1
Auto7.1
Teleop16.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsMissed