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Red101
301822.3
460738.3
614739.0
Blue98
327641.6
205226.6
517226.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11210440608012014016010198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.2
39.239.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.8
End7.4
blue by 2.6
41.60.1
41.841.6
Auto11.0
Teleop25.4
End5.2
Second
38.30.2
38.538.3
Auto12.2
Teleop21.9
End4.2
red by 11.7
2052
#18
26.60.1
26.726.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.4
Third
22.30.2
22.522.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 3.8
5172
#19
26.10.1
26.226.1
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End1.9