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Red120
327641.6
212935.8
614629.8
Blue47
543416.1
329324.2
329716.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216905010015020012047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.1
42.643.7
Auto11.0
Teleop25.4
End5.2
red by 17.4
24.22.2
25.823.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Second
2129
#15
35.81.1
37.138.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.3
End1.8
red by 19.5
3297
#33
16.31.8
22.120.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
Third
29.81.1
23.925.0
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End2.9
red by 13.7
5434
#36
16.12.2
20.718.5
Auto7.4
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned82%Ensemble oddsMissed