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Red58
329716.3
205226.6
249127.4
Blue91
318430.1
725728.1
212935.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841000501505891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#10
27.41.3
28.727.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 8.4
2129
#15
35.80.3
38.137.7
Auto12.7
Teleop21.3
End1.8
Second
2052
#18
26.61.3
31.430.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.4
blue by 3.5
3184
#17
30.10.3
25.725.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End5.1
Third
3297
#33
16.31.3
17.816.5
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
blue by 11.8
28.10.3
25.124.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
70%Ensemble oddsEarned76%Ensemble oddsMissed